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RESEARCH
Science
Biology
Northern climate, ecosystems
driven by cycles of changing sunlight
Jim Barlow,
Life Sciences Editor
(217) 333-5802; jebarlow@uiuc.edu
9/25/03
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| Photo
by Bill Wiegand |
| Feng
Sheng Hu, an Illinois professor of plant biology and
of geology, and other researchers report in the journal
Science that changes in the sun's intensity occur
in cycles, providing data that could help project
future climate conditions. |
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CHAMPAIGN, Ill.
— Emerging geochemical and biological evidence from Alaskan lake
sediment suggests that slight variations in the sun’s intensity
have affected sub-polar climate and ecosystems in a predictable fashion
during the last 12,000 years.
Researchers at six institutions report the findings in the Sept. 26
issue of the journal Science. The data, they say, help to explain past
changes on land and in freshwater ecosystems in northern latitudes and
may provide information to help project the future.
The scientists identified cycles lasting 200, 435, 590 and 950 years
during the Holocene Epoch, said principal investigator Feng Sheng Hu
of the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign. The pattern of environmental
variations they found also matches nicely with cyclic changes in solar
irradiance and the extent of sea ice in the North Atlantic.
“We found natural cycles involving climate and ecosystems that
seem to be related to weak solar cycles, which, if verified, could be
an important factor to help us understand potential future changes of
Earth’s climate,” Hu said.
“Will changes in solar irradiation in the future mitigate or exacerbate
global warming in the future? They may do both,” said Hu, a professor
in the plant biology
and geology departments at
Illinois. “A period of high solar irradiance on top of high levels
of greenhouse gases could result in unprecedented warming.”
The new data come
from Arolik Lake sediment in the tundra region near the Ahklun Mountains,
along the southwestern coast of Alaska. Hu and co-author Darrell Kaufman
of Northern Arizona University in Flagstaff have conducted climate-change
research in that region for more than a decade.
“To our knowledge, this is the first data set from the North Pacific
high latitudes that has enough details to evaluate the effects of centennial
scale solar cycles on climate and ecosystems,” Hu said.
Sediment samples were tested for a variety of biological and chemical
components related to environmental qualities, including their composition
of biogenic silica, pollen and isotopes. The new data combined with
recent findings of North Atlantic ice cover and production records of
the cosmogenic nuclides beryllium-10 and carbon-14 strongly suggest
that variations of Holocene climate on multi-centennial timescales reflect
changes in solar intensity, the researchers wrote. Sun-ocean-climate
linkages may account for similarities in the North Atlantic and North
Pacific, Hu said.
In a Science paper published in 2001, one of Hu’s colleagues,
Gerard Bond of Columbia University in New York, and nine other authors
documented a close connection between North Atlantic drift ice and changes
in the cosmogenic nuclides beryllium-10 and carbon-14. “Now, Hu’s
findings in the North Pacific not only strongly corroborate the sun-climate
connection we proposed, but they also imply that the response to solar
variations may have involved much if not all of the Northern Hemisphere,”
Bond said.
Hu and colleagues linked the solar cycles to changes in lake productivity
and plant densities, as well as variations in temperatures and moisture
in the Alaskan tundra. The abundance of pollen from shrubs varied up
to 25 percent between cycle peaks.
“When there have been high aquatic production and abundant shrubs,
then warmer, more moist weather conditions are found at our site, and
these conditions coincide with the presence of less drift ice in the
North Atlantic and of higher solar irradiance,” Hu said.
Data from biogenic silica (single-celled algae that reflect lake productivity),
North Atlantic sea ice, and baryllium-10 and radiocarbon measures were
“strikingly consistent” during the cycles, with the exception
of conflicting correlations that occurred in a less-defined cycle that
occurred between 5,000 and 6,000 years ago, the researchers wrote.
The presence of predictable cycles dating back thousands of years provides
data that are not detectable in instrumental records, which are largely
restricted to just the last 100 years, Hu said.
Illinois co-authors on the paper were microbiologist
Sumiko Yoneji and graduate students David Nelson, Jian Tian and Benjamin
Clegg.
Other co-authors were Bond of Columbia University, Aldo Shemesh of the
Weizmann Institute of Science in Israel, Yongsong Huang of Brown University
and Thomas Brown of the Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory in California.
The David and Lucile Packard Foundation, National Science Foundation
and Israeli Science Foundation funded the research through individual
grants to the participants.
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graphic
courtesy of Feng Sheng Hu |
| Views of Lake
Arolik and where it is located in southwest Alaska. |
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